Political Affiliation And Jurors’ Verdict Orientation

By Eric Rudich, Ph.D

When deciding a case, juror politics matter. It is clear that liberals and conservatives have very different reactions to political arguments. Someone who is politically conservative is not likely to agree with the political positions of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez while liberals are not known for embracing the positions advocated by President Trump. Similarly, jurors’ political orientation frequently impacts their reactions to plaintiff and defense arguments. Moral Foundations Theory provides a framework for understanding why jurors may have very different views about which side should prevail at trial.  The theory proposes that moral judgments have evolved from our innate sense of suffering, fairness, and cheating which arose from intergroup and intra-group conflict in our ancestral environment.  From an evolutionary perspective, morality facilitated intra-group cooperation among individuals which in turn offered survival advantages over other groups that competed for the same resources.

Our internal research across multiple jury research studies has found that, on average, conservative jurors award 15% lower than the mean damage award. In contrast, liberals award 8% higher than the average award. Thus, the average difference in the amounts awarded by liberals and conservatives is 23%. These findings indicate that in a personal injury trial in which millions of dollars are at stake, the political affiliation of the jurors can have a large impact on the damages awarded. The results are in line with experiences in “judicial hell holes” such as the Bronx County, New York; Cook County, Illinois; Los Angeles County, California; and Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania which have a large proportion of liberal respondents and are also known for awarding large jury damage awards.